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- <text id=89TT1293>
- <title>
- May 15, 1989: America Abroad
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1989
- May 15, 1989 Waiting For Washington
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- NATION, Page 26
- America Abroad
- Why Kohl Is Right
- </hdr><body>
- <p>By Strobe Talbott
- </p>
- <p> Helmut Kohl has infuriated the Bush Administration by trying
- to save his political skin with a call on the superpowers to
- negotiate over short-range nuclear weapons. But however
- pusillanimous his motives may be, Kohl happens to be right in what
- he recommends. Tactical nuclear weapons have never made sense,
- especially concentrated in West Germany, the putative battlefield
- where World War III would begin. If American tactical missiles were
- ever fired in anger, they would raise mushroom clouds over German
- territory and probably kill more local civilians than foreign
- invaders. If, on the other hand, the missiles were not fired, they
- would become irresistible targets for devastating pre-emptive
- strikes by the enemy. Hence the bitter saying in Bonn, "The shorter
- the range, the deader the German."
- </p>
- <p> Nuclear weapons deter their own use. Arguably that is all they
- are good for. But tactical nukes, because they frighten allies whom
- they are supposed to protect, are good for even less. In fact,
- these weapons are good for nothing except as bargaining leverage
- to remove similar Soviet missiles in Eastern Europe. Thus the
- current furor is surprising only in that it took so long, and so
- much pressure from the left, for a West German Chancellor to adopt
- Kohl's present position.
- </p>
- <p> The U.S. has been holding the line against short-range-weapons
- talks out of fear that negotiations will lead to a supposedly
- terrible state of affairs in Europe known as "denuclearization" --
- the removal of all nuclear weapons from the Continent. According
- to the NATO catechism, denuclearization would make Europe "safe"
- for a conventional war that the Warsaw Pact, with its much vaunted
- superiority in soldiers and tanks, might be tempted to start and
- could probably win. According to another article of the dark faith,
- a denuclearized Western Europe would be "Finlandized": France,
- Italy and Belgium, but above all the Federal Republic of Germany,
- would be sucked away from their traditional protector on the far
- side of the Atlantic and into the Soviet orbit. These countries
- would end up, like Finland, being allowed to manage their internal
- affairs as they saw fit but obliged to calibrate their foreign
- policies to the wishes of Moscow.
- </p>
- <p> Because of where they live, most Europeans see more clearly
- than most Americans how implausible and irrelevant that danger is
- becoming. All they have to do is look at their neighbors on the
- other side of the Iron Curtain to realize that there is indeed such
- a thing as Finlandization, but it is happening in the East, not the
- West. Moreover, it is happening with the approval of Moscow, which
- is encouraging its comrades to turn toward Paris, Bonn, London and
- Rome not just for economic help but also for political institutions
- and values.
- </p>
- <p> As for the threat of conventional war, Mikhail Gorbachev is
- already committed to unilateral reductions in troops, armor and
- artillery. He might go further in the talks with the West now
- taking place in Vienna, and further still if short-range nuclear
- weapons are on the table.
- </p>
- <p> Once the Bush Administration stops cursing Kohl under its
- breath, it will probably do what he is asking. Some formula will
- be found to permit the talks that Kohl wants and Washington hates.
- Too bad the U.S. will have been dragged kicking and screaming into
- a decision that it should have reached on its own. The leader of
- the alliance will be in the anomalous and undignified position of
- following its allies to the negotiating table, and the American
- hand will be weaker as a result, both with the West Europeans and
- with the Soviets.
- </p>
-
- </body></article>
- </text>
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